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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Barracas Central

Carrera (46')
Orihuela (31'), Carrera (45+2'), Acosta (82'), Romero (90'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Ruiz (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zalazar (26')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Barracas Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-2 Tucuman
Sunday, September 3 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Arsenal
Monday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawBarracas Central
60.81% (-0.052 -0.05) 23.42% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 15.76% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)55.42% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)76.61% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)17.92% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27% (-0.073 -0.07)48.73% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.31% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)47.69% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 60.8%
    Barracas Central 15.76%
    Draw 23.42%
Atletico TucumanDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 14.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 60.8%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-2 Tucuman
Sunday, September 3 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 Instituto
Tuesday, August 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, August 20 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-2 Tucuman
Saturday, July 29 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Independiente
Sunday, July 23 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Tucuman
Tuesday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Arsenal
Monday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 5-1 Barracas Central
Monday, August 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, July 30 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 Barracas Central
Monday, July 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division


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