SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 42%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
42% ( -0.16) | 30.22% ( 0.13) | 27.78% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.86% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.02% ( -0.35) | 66.98% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.75% ( -0.24) | 85.25% ( 0.24) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( -0.27) | 31.68% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% ( -0.32) | 68.09% ( 0.32) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.34% ( -0.18) | 41.66% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.86% ( -0.16) | 78.13% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.16% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.21% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.2% Total : 27.78% |
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