SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Union |
27.63% ( 0.02) | 28.14% ( 0.04) | 44.22% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.33% ( -0.15) | 60.67% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.25% ( -0.11) | 80.75% ( 0.11) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.06) | 38.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( -0.06) | 74.96% ( 0.06) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( -0.11) | 27.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( -0.14) | 62.77% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 27.63% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 13.54% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 44.22% |
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