SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Belgrano win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Racing Club |
26.91% ( 0.14) | 27.04% ( 0.19) | 46.04% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.45% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.79% ( -0.62) | 57.21% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.94% ( -0.5) | 78.06% ( 0.49) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% ( -0.22) | 36.89% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.32% ( -0.22) | 73.67% ( 0.22) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.44) | 24.81% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.61) | 59.4% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.91% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.35% Total : 46.03% |
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