SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
46.64% ( 0.02) | 27.18% ( -0) | 26.19% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.55% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% ( -0) | 58.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% ( -0) | 78.77% ( 0) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( 0.01) | 24.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( 0.01) | 59.55% ( -0.01) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% ( -0.02) | 38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% ( -0.02) | 74.77% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.19% |
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