Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.83%).
-0.18) 
0.13) 
