SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Union had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Union |
51.26% ( 0.13) | 27.85% ( 0.07) | 20.88% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 39.88% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.99% ( -0.39) | 64% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.81% ( -0.28) | 83.19% ( 0.27) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( -0.12) | 25.38% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( -0.16) | 60.19% ( 0.15) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( -0.46) | 46.56% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.85% ( -0.35) | 82.15% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 16.2% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 51.25% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 20.88% |
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