SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
37.67% ( 0.04) | 30.5% ( -0.01) | 31.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.55% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.15% ( 0.03) | 66.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.84% ( 0.02) | 85.16% ( -0.02) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% ( 0.04) | 34.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% ( 0.04) | 70.95% ( -0.04) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( -0) | 38.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.92% ( -0) | 75.08% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.66% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.12% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.49% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 31.83% |
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