SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Patronato |
43.88% ( 0.06) | 27.02% ( -0.03) | 29.1% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.96% ( 0.08) | 56.05% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.88% ( 0.06) | 77.13% ( -0.06) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.07) | 25.37% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( 0.09) | 60.16% ( -0.09) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( 0.01) | 34.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( 0.01) | 71.23% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Patronato |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.1% |
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