SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.19%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 28.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Boca Juniors |
28.55% ( -0.3) | 29.26% ( -0.12) | 42.19% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 42.53% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.1% ( 0.26) | 63.9% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.88% ( 0.18) | 83.11% ( -0.18) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( -0.11) | 39.25% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.05% ( -0.1) | 75.95% ( 0.1) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( 0.37) | 30% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( 0.44) | 66.12% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 14.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 42.18% |
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