SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.04%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 18% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Sarmiento |
47.92% ( 0.05) | 30.49% ( 0.01) | 21.6% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 35.06% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.47% ( -0.06) | 70.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.43% ( -0.04) | 87.57% ( 0.04) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% | 30.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% ( -0) | 66.41% ( 0) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.26% ( -0.1) | 49.74% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.52% ( -0.07) | 84.48% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 17.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 47.91% | 0-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 30.48% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 21.59% |
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