SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.48%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 9.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Central Cordoba |
74.48% ( -0.39) | 16.28% ( 0.24) | 9.23% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0.65) | 41.06% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% ( -0.66) | 63.45% ( 0.66) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% ( -0.26) | 9.45% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.24% ( -0.6) | 31.75% ( 0.6) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.24% ( -0.13) | 49.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.51% ( -0.09) | 84.48% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Central Cordoba |
| 2-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.43% Total : 74.47% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 16.28% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 9.23% |
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