SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
53.14% ( -0.05) | 25.44% ( -0.04) | 21.42% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.56% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% ( 0.23) | 55.61% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( 0.19) | 76.77% ( -0.19) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( 0.07) | 20.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( 0.11) | 53.7% ( -0.11) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% ( 0.22) | 41.09% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.36% ( 0.2) | 77.63% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.13% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.42% |
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