Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sarmiento win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw has a probability of 27% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia has a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it is 0-1 (8.85%).