Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 13, 2023 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
| Result |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
32.57% ( -0.16) | 30.2% ( -0) | 37.23% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.43% ( -0.01) |
| 34.14% ( 0) | 65.86% ( -0) |
| 15.51% ( 0) | 84.49% ( -0) |
| 62.78% ( -0.12) | 37.22% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.99% ( -0.12) | 74.01% ( 0.12) |
| 65.99% ( 0.11) | 34.01% ( -0.11) |
