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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Aug 23, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
S

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Sarmiento

Perrone (58')
Perrone (22'), de los Santos (23'), Caseres (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toledo (24' pen.)
Rosso (34'), Mendez (35'), Mainero (51')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldosivi 3-2 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, August 18 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-2 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, August 16 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 66.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawSarmiento
66.81% (0.268 0.27) 21.26% (-0.217 -0.22) 11.93% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 39.61% (0.40499999999999 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (0.658 0.66)54.53% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (0.544 0.54)75.88% (-0.551 -0.55)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (0.309 0.31)15.55% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (0.576 0.58)44.5% (-0.582 -0.58)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.91% (0.307 0.31)53.08% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.29% (0.193 0.19)86.7% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 66.8%
    Sarmiento 11.93%
    Draw 21.26%
Velez SarsfieldDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 15.36% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 14.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
3-0 @ 8.87% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.088 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 66.8%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 2.87% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.26%
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.08% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 11.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aldosivi 3-2 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, August 18 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, August 14 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, August 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Union 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, August 6 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Talleres
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, July 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-2 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, August 16 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 4-1 Sarmiento
Friday, August 12 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-1 Lanus
Saturday, August 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Sarmiento
Monday, August 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-3 Colon
Saturday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Tuesday, July 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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