SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
37.82% ( 0.65) | 27.57% ( 0.5) | 34.61% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.03% ( -1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% ( -2.04) | 56.68% ( 2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.36% ( -1.66) | 77.64% ( 1.67) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( -0.6) | 28.97% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% ( -0.75) | 64.87% ( 0.75) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( -1.74) | 30.97% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% ( -2.08) | 67.27% ( 2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.68)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.6% |
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