SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
30.42% ( 0.11) | 24.72% ( 0.1) | 44.86% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.38) | 46.01% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( -0.36) | 68.32% ( 0.36) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.12) | 28.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( -0.15) | 64.14% ( 0.15) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.25) | 20.59% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( -0.4) | 53.13% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.86% |
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