SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Hartberg |
64.28% ( 1.16) | 19.38% ( -0.44) | 16.34% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 56.91% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.57% ( 0.69) | 37.43% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( 0.74) | 59.65% ( -0.74) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.99% ( 0.51) | 11.01% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.7% ( 1.11) | 35.3% ( -1.11) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( -0.43) | 36.05% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% ( -0.44) | 72.83% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Hartberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.12)Other @ 4.5% Total : 64.28% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.38% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.4% Total : 16.34% |
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