Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
BATE Borisov | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
38.53% ( -0.4) | 26.85% ( 0.19) | 34.61% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.12% ( -0.74) | 53.87% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.66% ( -0.63) | 75.33% ( 0.62) |
BATE Borisov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% ( -0.57) | 27.22% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( -0.75) | 62.63% ( 0.75) |
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% ( -0.23) | 29.56% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% ( -0.29) | 65.59% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
BATE Borisov | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.61% |
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