SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.63%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Neman |
13.75% ( -0.01) | 22.77% ( -0.04) | 63.47% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.32% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.58% ( 0.11) | 56.42% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.57% ( 0.09) | 77.43% ( -0.09) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.77% ( 0.05) | 51.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.51% ( 0.04) | 85.49% ( -0.03) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( 0.06) | 17.34% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( 0.1) | 47.72% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 13.76% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 15.56% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 13.63% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 63.47% |
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