SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Genk |
33.83% ( -0.06) | 24.8% ( 0.11) | 41.37% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( -0.51) | 45.18% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( -0.5) | 67.52% ( 0.5) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -0.28) | 25.84% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% ( -0.38) | 60.8% ( 0.38) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( -0.25) | 21.84% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( -0.37) | 55.06% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.83% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.37% |
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