SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 68.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 12.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Eupen |
68.99% ( -0.51) | 18.1% ( 0.4) | 12.91% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.99% ( -1.63) | 39% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.67% ( -1.74) | 61.32% ( 1.74) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( -0.56) | 10.25% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.39% ( -1.3) | 33.61% ( 1.29) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.29% ( -0.9) | 41.71% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.81% ( -0.8) | 78.18% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Eupen |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.51)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.54% Total : 68.99% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.1% | 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.91% |
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