SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Royal Antwerp | 9 | 15 | 27 |
| 2 | Genk | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Leuven | 9 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Gent | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Sint-Truiden | 9 | 2 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gent had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Gent win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Gent |
54.07% ( 0.36) | 23.46% ( -0.12) | 22.47% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( 0.26) | 46.7% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( 0.25) | 68.96% ( -0.24) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( 0.23) | 17.18% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.56% ( 0.4) | 47.44% ( -0.39) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( -0.07) | 35.03% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% ( -0.07) | 71.78% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.47% |
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