SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Standard Liege |
59.23% ( 0.1) | 20.82% ( -0.04) | 19.95% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.02% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.98% ( 0.09) | 38.03% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.71% ( 0.09) | 60.29% ( -0.09) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( 0.06) | 12.56% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.38% ( 0.12) | 38.62% ( -0.12) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.01) | 32.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% ( -0.01) | 69.03% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 59.23% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.95% |
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