Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sint-Truiden | Draw | Leuven |
44.55% ( 0.16) | 24.77% ( 0.03) | 30.68% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.85% ( -0.22) | 46.14% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( -0.2) | 68.44% ( 0.2) |
Sint-Truiden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.02) | 20.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( -0.03) | 53.43% ( 0.03) |
Leuven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( -0.23) | 28.29% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( -0.3) | 64.01% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Sint-Truiden | Draw | Leuven |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.68% |
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