Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
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