Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-4.41) 
0.26) 
