SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Leuven |
53.36% ( -0.27) | 23.35% ( 0.02) | 23.3% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( 0.19) | 45.33% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( 0.18) | 67.66% ( -0.18) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.03) | 16.94% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( -0.05) | 47.02% ( 0.06) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.33) | 33.52% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( 0.37) | 70.16% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Leuven |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.36% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 23.3% |
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