SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Genk |
23.46% ( -0.06) | 22.44% ( -0.01) | 54.1% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0.02) | 41.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.02) | 63.45% ( 0.03) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( -0.06) | 31.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( -0.07) | 67.35% ( 0.08) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( 0.02) | 15.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.24% ( 0.03) | 43.76% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.1% |
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