Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
1.45) 
-1.89) 
