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Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 31, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Independencia
F

America Mineiro
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Ademir (42' pen.), Azevedo (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
David (50')
Jussa (58'), Titi (63'), Lima (66'), Romarinho (77'), Ederson (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawFortaleza
42.77%28.07%29.16%
Both teams to score 45.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.23%59.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.94%80.06%
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78%63.22%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53%36.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74%73.26%
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 42.77%
    Fortaleza 29.15%
    Draw 28.05%
America MineiroDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.96%
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.15%

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