Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
