Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
-0.27) 
0.12) 
