Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Avai had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Avai	Draw	Fluminense
31.73% ( -0.2)	25.1% ( -0.11)	43.17% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83% (

0.41)

47.16% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6% (

0.37)

69.4% (

-0.38)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.89% (

0.07)

28.11% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

0.09)

63.78% (

-0.1)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

0.31)

21.83% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94% (

0.48)

55.05% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Avai 31.73%

Fluminense 43.17%

Draw 25.1%

Avai	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.73%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.17%