Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
-0.4) 
0.08) 
