Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
0.7) 
-0.71) 
