While Coritiba will be looking to return to winning ways, standing in their way is a spirited Flamengo side who have won each of their last four meetings. Looking at the gulf in quality between the two teams and their contrasting form, we are backing the hosts to come away with all three points.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.91%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
-1.72) 
1.07) 
