Leao do Pici seem to struggle to make in-game adjustments and change their tactics when needed, and their aggressive approach could leave them vulnerable in transition against a side who can score in bunches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 11.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
70.32% ( 1.88)	18.61% ( -0.7)	11.06% ( -1.18)

Both teams to score 44.59% (

-1.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

0.01)

46.11% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59% (

0.01)

68.41% (

-0.01)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.11% (

0.53)

11.89% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.8% (

1.11)

37.2% (

-1.11)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.6% (

-2.08)

49.39% (

2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.76% (

-1.51)

84.23% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 70.32%

Fortaleza 11.06%

Draw 18.61%

Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
2-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.15% Total : 70.32%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.61% Total : 18.61%	0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.35% Total : 11.06%