Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.06) 
