Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.