As has been the case in recent years, this looks set to be a hugely entertaining game on Saturday, with both sides tending to ignore defensive concerns to focus on an attacking mindset in past meetings. We believe that trend will continue here, with Bayern having too much for their visitors, who are missing a number of players and look incapable of being able to contain the threat of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
66.08%	18.43%	15.48%

Both teams to score 58.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.42%

34.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.48%

56.51%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.24%

9.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.54%

32.45%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.7%

35.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.95%

72.05%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 66.08%

Borussia Dortmund 15.48%

Draw 18.43%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 7.54% 3-0 @ 7.24% 4-1 @ 4.39% 4-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.92% 4-2 @ 2.28% 5-1 @ 2.04% 5-0 @ 1.96% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.39% Total : 66.08%	1-1 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 5.06% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.43%	1-2 @ 4.35% 0-1 @ 3.58% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.42% Total : 15.48%