Despite Bayern suffering a couple of shock setbacks over the past week, it would be one of the biggest Bundesliga shocks in history were they to come away from the Allianz Arena without the three points on Sunday.
For all of Greuther's excellent results of late, on their travels they desperately struggle, so all of the signs are pointing towards a comfortable Bayern win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 93.35%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 1.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 4-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 5-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.25%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (0.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
