Dortmund
3 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bender (89' pen.)

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
43.02%	23.86%	33.11%

Both teams to score 61.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.01%

40.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.61%

63.39%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67%

19.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.91%

51.09%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73%

24.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37%

58.63%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 43.02%

Bayer Leverkusen 33.11%

Draw 23.86%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.02%	1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 7.73% 0-1 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.11%