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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
AB

Freiburg
2 - 2
Arminia Bielefeld

Haberer (6'), Woo-yeong (46')
Schlotterbeck (53'), Gulde (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Okugawa (60'), Lasme (87')
Hack (69')

We said: Freiburg 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld

Though there remains a gulf between the clubs in terms of current league standing, it could be a close-fought affair upon their Bundesliga resumption this week. Arminia are, though, a side which struggles for inspiration in the final third, so Freiburg's greater pedigree up front should prove the decisive factor at the SC-Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawArminia Bielefeld
56.06%23.45%20.49%
Both teams to score 51.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03%48.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94%71.06%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71%17.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37%47.64%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.74%38.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98%75.02%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 56.05%
    Arminia Bielefeld 20.49%
    Draw 23.45%
FreiburgDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 5.73%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.36%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.49%

Read more!
Read more!


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