Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
