Although Leverkusen will be keen to guarantee themselves European football for next season, Bochum's motivation is clearly much greater heading into this match given that their survival in the Bundesliga is on the line.
Die Unabsteigbaren have been extremely consistent on home soil for the majority of Letsch's time in charge so far, and we can envisage them ensuring that automatic relegation at the very least will not be on the cards by securing a vital victory on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
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