Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.07) 
