Though Aris should have most of the ball - as they did last week in Poland - Rakow were by far the best defensive team in Poland last season and are capable of keeping them in check. It is set to be a tense, close-fought affair, with little to choose between the two teams, but it will be the away side who ultimately progress.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.
0.98) 
-1.4) 
