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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
JL

Benfica
4 - 3
Juventus

Silva (17'), Mario (28' pen.), Silva (35', 50')
Fernandez (84')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kean (21'), Milik (77'), McKennie (79')
Danilo (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Benfica
Friday, October 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 1-1 Juventus

These two European giants are experiencing very different campaigns to date, with the Eagles of Benfica flying high and apparently unbeatable; the Old Lady has significantly slowed. Nonetheless, an experienced Juve side can muster all their guile to grind out a draw - though that will not be enough for them to stay in the mix for a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawJuventus
51.24% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.19%23.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)52.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)74.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)37.34% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.041 -0.04)74.12% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 51.24%
    Juventus 23.56%
    Draw 25.19%
BenficaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 51.24%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 23.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Benfica
Friday, October 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Benfica
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 4-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Benfica
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Maritimo
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Empoli
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Juventus
Tuesday, October 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Maccabi Haifa
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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